| About This Report |
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| Summary |
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v | |
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xiii | |
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1 | (26) |
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Brief History of the U.S. Defense Posture in the Indo-Pacific |
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8 | (15) |
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23 | (4) |
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Chapter Two Key Factors That Affect Chinese Responses to U.S. Posture Enhancements |
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27 | (44) |
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Case Selection Methodology |
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29 | (3) |
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Factor 1 China's Perceptions of the Potential Military Threat from U.S., Allied, and Partner Capabilities |
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32 | (8) |
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Factor 2 China's Perceptions of U.S., Allied, and Partner Hostile Intent |
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40 | (7) |
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Factor 3 China's Perceptions of Threats to Its Regime Legitimacy |
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47 | (6) |
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Factor 4 China's Perceptions of Threats to Its Economic Development |
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53 | (4) |
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Factor 5 China's Perceptions of Threats to Its Regional Influence |
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57 | (5) |
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Factor 6 China's Perceptions of U.S. Commitment to the Defense of U.S. Allies or Partners |
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62 | (7) |
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69 | (2) |
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Chapter Three Characteristics of U.S. Posture Enhancements That Affect Chinese Responses |
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71 | (20) |
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Linkages Between U.S. Posture Characteristics and Chinese Perceptions of Potential Military Threat |
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74 | (2) |
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Linkages Between U.S. Posture Characteristics and Chinese Perceptions of Hostile Intent |
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76 | (2) |
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Linkages Between U.S. Posture Characteristics and Threats to Chinese Regime Legitimacy |
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78 | (2) |
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Linkages Between U.S. Posture Characteristics and Threats to Chinese Economic Development |
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80 | (1) |
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Linkages Between U.S. Posture Characteristics and Threats to Chinese Regional Influence |
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81 | (2) |
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Linkages Between U.S. Posture Characteristics and U.S. Commitment to the Defense of Its Allies and Partners |
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83 | (8) |
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Chapter Four Typology of Chinese Responses |
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91 | (18) |
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Near-Term Chinese Policy Responses |
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92 | (8) |
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Longer-Term Chinese Policy Responses |
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100 | (1) |
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Patterns in Chinese Responses |
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101 | (8) |
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Chapter Five Applying the Framework to Illustrative Posture Options |
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109 | (52) |
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Steps for Applying the Framework |
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109 | (7) |
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Framework Application 1: United States Builds an ISR Hub in the Philippines |
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116 | (15) |
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Framework Application 2: United States Restores and Deploys the First Fleet to Australia |
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131 | (13) |
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Framework Application 3: Substantial Expansion of Military Acpess with India |
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144 | (17) |
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161 | (10) |
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Insights for U.S. Policy in the Indo-Pacific Region |
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161 | (5) |
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Recommendations for U.S. Policymakers and the Army |
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166 | (5) |
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A Expanded Data on U.S. Defense Posture History in the Indo-Pacific, 1949-2020 |
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171 | (14) |
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185 | (16) |
| Abbreviations |
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201 | (2) |
| References |
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203 | |
