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El. knyga: Biosecurity Surveillance: Quantitative Approaches

Edited by (Queensland University of Technology, Australia), Edited by (Griffith University, Australia), Edited by (The University of Melbourne, Australia)
  • Formatas: EPUB+DRM
  • Serija: CABI Invasives Series
  • Išleidimo metai: 12-Mar-2015
  • Leidėjas: CABI Publishing
  • Kalba: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781789243826
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  • Formatas: EPUB+DRM
  • Serija: CABI Invasives Series
  • Išleidimo metai: 12-Mar-2015
  • Leidėjas: CABI Publishing
  • Kalba: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781789243826
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This book is a source of information on practical and innovative approaches to biosecurity surveillance. It explains the foundation and concepts behind surveillance design, with examples of methods and tools created to deal with surveillance challenges. With supporting case studies and including current directions in research, it covers evidence-based approaches to surveillance, statistics, detectability, single and multi-species detection, risk assessment, diagnostics, data-basing, modelling of invasion and spread, optimisation, and future climate challenges.
Contributors vii
Preface x
Acknowledgements xi
1 Introduction to Biosecurity Surveillance: Quantitative Approaches
1(8)
Frith Jarrad
PART I CONCEPTS FOR BIOSECURITY SURVEILLANCE
2 Biosecurity Surveillance in Agriculture and Environment: a Review
9(34)
Megan Quinlan
Mark Stanaway
Kerrie Mengersen
3 Getting the Story Straight: Laying the Foundations for Statistical Evaluation of the Performance of Surveillance
43(32)
Samantha Low-Choy
4 Hierarchical Models for Evaluating Surveillance Strategies: Diversity Within a Common Modular Structure
75(34)
Samantha Low-Choy
5 The Relationship Between Biosecurity Surveillance and Risk Analysis
109(14)
Alan MacLeod
6 Designing Surveillance for Emergency Response
123(14)
Zoe van Havre
Peter Whittle
PART II INFORMATION FOR BIOSECURITY SURVEILLANCE
7 The Role of Surveillance in Evaluating and Comparing International Quarantine Systems
137(14)
Murthy Mittinty
Peter Whittle
Mark Burgman
Kerrie Mengersen
8 Estimating Detection Rates and Probabilities
151(16)
Cindy E. Hauser
Georgia E. Garrard
Joslin L. Moore
9 Ad hoc Solutions to Estimating Pathway Non-compliance Rates Using Imperfect and Incomplete Information
167(14)
Andrew P. Robinson
Matthew Chisholm
Robert Mudford
Robert Maillardet
10 Surveillance for Soilborne Microbial Biocontrol Agents and Plant Pathogens
181(22)
Peter Whittle
Ingvar Sundh
Stephen Neate
11 Design of a Surveillance System for Non-indigenous Species on Barrow Island: Plants Case Study
203(14)
Justine Murray
Peter Whittle
Frith Jarrad
Susan Barrett
Richard Stoklosa
Kerrie Mengersen
12 Towards Reliable Mapping of Biosecurity Risk: Incorporating Uncertainty and Decision Makers' Risk Aversion
217(21)
Denys Yemshanov
Frank H. Koch
Mark Ducey
Robert A. Haack
13 Detection Survey Design for Decision Making During Biosecurity Incursions
238(15)
John M. Kean
Graham M. Burnip
Amin Pathan
PART III STATISTICAL MODELLING METHODS FOR DESIGNING BIOSECURITY SURVEILLANCE
14 Inference and Prediction with Individual-based Stochastic Models of Epidemics
253(12)
Gavin Gibson
Christopher A. Gilligan
15 Evidence of Absence for Invasive Species: Roles for Hierarchical Bayesian Approaches in Regulation
265(13)
Mark Stanaway
16 Using Bayesian Networks to Model Surveillance in Complex Plant and Animal Health Systems
278(18)
Sandra Johnson
Kerrie Mengersen
Michael Ormsby
Peter Whittle
17 Statistical Emulators of Simulation Models to Inform Surveillance and Response to New Biological Invasions
296(17)
Michael Renton
David Savage
18 Animal, Vegetable, or ...? A Case Study in Using Animal-health Monitoring Design Tools to Solve a Plant-health Surveillance Problem
313(21)
Susan Hester
Evan Sergeant
Andrew P. Robinson
Graham Schultz
19 Agent-based Bayesian Spread Model Applied to Red Imported Fire Ants in Brisbane
334(14)
Jonathan M. Keith
Daniel Spring
Appendix: Common Statistical Distributions Used in Statistical Modelling and Analysis for Biosecurity Surveillance 348(15)
Jessie Roberts
Samantha Low-Choy
Frith Jarrad
Kerrie Mengersen
Index 363
Frith Jarrad, Sama Low Choy and Kerrie Mengersen, all Queensland University of Technology, Australia