Preface |
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ix | |
Pt. 1 Calculus Ratiocinator |
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1 | (26) |
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1 A Fundamental Problem with the Widely Used Methods |
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4 | (5) |
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2 Ensemble Models and Cognitive Processing in Playing Jeopardy |
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9 | (2) |
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3 The Brain's Explicit and Implicit Learning |
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11 | (5) |
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4 Two Distinct Modeling Cultures and Machine Intelligence |
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16 | (3) |
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5 Logistic Regression and the Calculus Ratiocinator Problem |
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19 | (8) |
Pt. 2 Most Likely Inference |
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27 | (32) |
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1 The Jaynes Maximum Entropy Principle |
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28 | (4) |
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2 Maximum Entropy and Standard Maximum Likelihood Logistic Regression |
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32 | (4) |
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3 Discrete Choice, Logit Error, and Correlated Observations |
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36 | (5) |
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4 RELR and the Logit Error |
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41 | (15) |
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5 RELR and the Jaynes Principle |
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56 | (3) |
Pt. 3 Probability Learning and Memory |
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59 | (36) |
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1 Bayesian Online Learning and Memory |
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60 | (9) |
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69 | (4) |
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73 | (10) |
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83 | (12) |
Pt. 4 Causal Reasoning |
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95 | (30) |
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1 Propensity Score Matching |
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97 | (5) |
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2 RELR's Outcome Score Matching |
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102 | (5) |
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3 An Example of RELR's Causal Reasoning |
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107 | (7) |
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4 Comparison to Other Bayesian and Causal Methods |
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114 | (11) |
Pt. 5 Neural Calculus |
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125 | (20) |
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1 RELR as a Neural Computational Model |
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126 | (4) |
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2 RELR and Neural Dynamics |
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130 | (4) |
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3 Small Samples in Neural Learning |
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134 | (3) |
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4 What about Artificial Neural Networks? |
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137 | (8) |
Pt. 6 Oscillating Neural Synchrony |
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145 | (30) |
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1 The EEG and Neural Synchrony |
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147 | (3) |
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2 Neural Synchrony, Parsimony, and Grandmother Cells |
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150 | (1) |
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3 Gestalt Prognanz and Oscillating Neural Synchrony |
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151 | (10) |
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4 RELR and Spike-Timing-Dependent Plasticity |
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161 | (2) |
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5 Attention and Neural Synchrony |
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163 | (3) |
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6 Metrical Rhythm in Oscillating Neural Synchrony |
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166 | (5) |
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7 Higher Frequency Gamma Oscillations |
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171 | (4) |
Pt. 7 Alzheimer's and MindBrain Problems |
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175 | (22) |
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1 Neuroplasticity Selection in Development and Aging |
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176 | (3) |
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2 Brain and Cognitive Changes in Very Early Alzheimer's Disease |
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179 | (4) |
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3 A RELR Model of Recent Episodic and Semantic Memory |
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183 | (2) |
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4 What Causes the Medial Temporal Lobe Disturbance in Early Alzheimer's? |
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185 | (6) |
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191 | (6) |
Pt. 8 Let Us Calculate |
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197 | (14) |
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1 Human Decision Bias and the Calculus Ratiocinator |
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200 | (2) |
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2 When the Experts are Wrong |
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202 | (3) |
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3 When Predictive Models Crash |
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205 | (2) |
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4 The Promise of Cognitive Machines |
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207 | (4) |
Appendix |
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211 | (32) |
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Al RELR Maximum Entropy Formulation |
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211 | (12) |
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A2 Derivation of RELR Logit from Errors-in-Variables Considerations |
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223 | (1) |
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A3 Methodology for Pew 2004 Election Weekend Model Study |
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224 | (2) |
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A4 Derivation of Posterior Probabilities in RELR's Sequential Online Learning |
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226 | (3) |
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A5 Chain Rule Derivation of Explicit RELR Feature Importance |
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229 | (1) |
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A6 Further Details on the Explicit RELR Low Birth Weight Model in Chapter 3 |
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230 | (5) |
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A7 Zero Intercepts in Perfectly Balanced Stratified Samples |
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235 | (2) |
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A8 Detailed Steps in RELR's Causal Machine Learning Method |
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237 | (6) |
Notes and References |
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243 | (28) |
Index |
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271 | |