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PART I WHY INVESTMENTS MATTER. |
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1.1 Investments: the forgotten value lever. |
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1.1.1 The early bird catches the worm. |
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1.2 A bird’s-eye view of the book content. |
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1.2.1 Part I: Why investments matter. |
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1.2.2 Part II: Getting investments right. |
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1.2.3 Part III: Right allocation: Managing a company's investment portfolio. |
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1.3 Why investments matter: the importance and structure of capital investments. |
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1.3.1 The relevance of capital investments. |
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1.3.2 The structure of capital investments. |
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1.3.3 Time dependence of capital investments. |
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1.3.4 The future of capital investments. |
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Appendix 1.1: Wavelet analysis: Extracting frequency information from investment timelines. |
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PART II GETTING INVESTMENTS RIGHT. |
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2 Right Positioning: Managing an Asset’s Exposure to Economic Risk. |
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2.2 Asset exposure determines the achievable return on an investment. |
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2.3 Five levels of protection determine the asset exposure. |
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2.4 A simple scoring metric to measure asset exposure. |
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2.5 Quantitative asset exposure analysis shows high correlation with ROIC at all levels. |
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2.5.1 Using exposure level analysis for benchmarking. |
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2.6 Strategies to reduce asset exposure. |
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2.6.1 Strategy 1: Create public-private, win-win situations in natural monopoly environments. |
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2.6.2 Strategy 2: Foster regulatory conditions that enable sufficient investment levels. |
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2.6.3 Strategy 3: Create the right structural conditions and ensure fair access to scarce resources. |
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2.6.4 Strategy 4: Establish protection for intellectual property. |
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2.6.5 Strategy 5: Achieve a strong commercial position. |
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2.6.6 Strategy 6: Minimize fixed capital costs or outsource asset ownership (go ""asset light""). |
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3 Right Technology: How to Optimize Innovation Timing and Risks. |
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3.1 Capital investments in technology innovation. |
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3.1.1 Technology analysis. |
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3.1.3 Mitigating technology risks. |
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4 Right Timing: How Cyclicality Affects Return on Investments and What Companies Can Do About It. |
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4.1 How cyclicality destroys value. |
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4.2 Industry drivers of cyclicality. |
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4.2.1 Impact of investment lead times. |
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4.2.2 Slow-to-no market growth. |
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4.2.3 High price sensitivity. |
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4.2.4 Investment timing with respect to the cycle. |
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4.3 Developing an economic model of cyclicality. |
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4.3.1 A fundamental law of economic cycles. |
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4.3.2 Base parameters of simple economic oscillations. |
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4.3.3 Reaction of cyclical systems to external ""excitation"". |
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4.3.4 Economic cycles with more than one player present. |
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4.4 Measures to cope with cyclicality. |
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4.4.3 “Jokers” that can help beat the cycle. |
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4.4.4 Where no joker is available. |
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Appendix 4A: A differential equation for economic cyclicality. |
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5 Right Size: Balancing Economies and Diseconomies of Scale. |
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5.1 Introduction: The role of scale in determining profitability. |
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5.2 Assessing economies of scale. |
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5.2.1 Fixed cost leverage. |
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5.2.2 Decreasing unit costs. |
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5.2.3 Equipment utilization/chunkiness of capacity. |
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5.3 Determining diseconomies of scale. |
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5.4.2 Market reaction risks. |
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5.5 An approach for finding the ""sweet spot"". |
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5.5.1 Scale effect model. |
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5.6.1 Automotive industry case example. |
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5.6.2 Base chemicals case example. |
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6 Right Location: Getting the Most from Government Incentives. |
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6.1 Government incentives: An overview. |
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6.1.1 Creating public-private, win-win situations. |
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6.2 Common types of incentive instruments. |
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6.2.4 Other types of government incentives. |
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6.3 The financial impact of incentives: A modeling approach. |
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6.3.1 General impact of subsidies. |
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6.3.2 General impact of financing support. |
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6.3.3 General impact of tax relief. |
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6.3.4 Specific impact of incentives on different industries. |
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6.4 Geographical differences in incentive structures. |
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6.5 Managing government incentives. |
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7 Right Design: How to Make Investments Lean and Flexible. |
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7.1 Lean design as a competitive advantage. |
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7.1.1 The lean way: Moving from capital investment projects to a lean design system. |
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7.2 The three dimensions of a lean capital investment system. |
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7.3 Dimension 1: The technical system. |
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7.3.1 Start with project objectives, design princisples, and target setting. |
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7.3.2 Value engineering and lean tools. |
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7.3.3 Design optimization. |
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7.3.4 From the basic design to start of production. |
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7.3.5 Anchoring tools and practices to formal standards. |
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7.4 Dimensions 2 & 3: Management infrastructure, mindset and behavior. |
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7.4.1 Project organization and performance management. |
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7.4.2 Institutionalization and learning. |
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7.4.3 Adapting the system to local specifics: Project design cannot be ""one size fits all"". |
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7.5 Flexibility: Just what customers and the company need and no more. |
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7.5.1 Macro-level flexibility: modularity in plant design to ensure flexible, cost-efficient assets. |
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7.5.2 Midi-level flexibility in plant design: cater for product portfolio diversity. |
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7.5.3 Micro-level flexibility in plant design: design for iso-productivity. |
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7.6 How to avoid creating a front-page disaster: Anticipating what can go wrong. |
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7.6.1 Performance management and decision making. |
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7.6.2 Tools which every company and project team need to master. |
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7.6.3 Cross-functional coordination. |
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8 Right Financing: Shaping the Optimal Finance Portfolio. |
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8.1 Why Financing Matters. |
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8.2 Three-Step Financing Approach. |
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8.2.1 Step 1: Evaluating the investment's cash flow parameters. |
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8.2.2 Step 2: Assessing investment risks. |
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8.2.3 Step 3: Composing the financing portfolio. |
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PART III. |
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9 Right Allocation: How to Allocate Money Within the Company. |
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9.1 Key requirements for capital allocation. |
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9.2 Four models of the corporate center role in shaping the investment portfolio. |
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9.3 Capital allocation approach for operators and strategic controllers. |
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9.3.1 Step 1: Treat special projects as high priority. |
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9.3.2 Step 2: Allocate remaining capital to business units. |
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9.3.3 Step 3: Business units distribute capital to individual investments. |
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9.3.4 Step 4: Implement a capital assurance process. |
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9.3.5 Improving the ""capital allocation key"". |
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9.3.6 Capital allocation backbone. |
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9.4 Capital allocation approach for strategic architects and financial holding structures. |
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