First published in 1983, Explaining and Predicting Elections is the first cross-national and comprehensive explanation of election results. It considers why one election differs from another and attempts to account for party gains and losse...Daugiau...
This book will equip readers with the tools to navigate the mismatch of expectations. It is not intended to replace more technical applications of statistics but is accessible to those interested in learning about how poll data should be understoo...Daugiau...
Interpreting poll data as a prediction of election outcomes is a practice as old as the field, rooted in a fundamental misunderstanding of what poll data means.By first understanding how polls work at a fundamental level, this book gives re...Daugiau...
John Zogby, one of Americas most prominent pollsters, offers readers a master class in understanding what polls can reveal about public opinion. Illustrating his arguments from key political races of the last 40 years, Zogby shares true stories abo...Daugiau...
Studying politics and elections generally is considered the realm of political scientists, but other fieldssuch as psychology, computational science, and data scienceplay an important role in understanding how elections work, what influences voters...Daugiau...
Studying politics and elections generally is considered the realm of political scientists, but other fieldssuch as psychology, computational science, and data scienceplay an important role in understanding how elections work, what influences voters...Daugiau...
In the updated 2024 edition of this classic text, Lichtman applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and...Daugiau...
Predicting the Winner is a riveting narrative about election night 1952, when Dwight David Eisenhower won in a landslide and was elected president of the United States-- The history of American elections changed profoundly on the night of...Daugiau...
This Element draws upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. Our work provides a comprehensive...Daugiau...
Public opinion research has been under a great deal of criticism over the last few years as it failed to accurately predict a series of important outcomes around the world. As a result, polls are now assumed to be inaccurate at best, manipulative at...Daugiau...
Public opinion research has been under a great deal of criticism over the last few years as it failed to accurately predict a series of important outcomes around the world. As a result, polls are now assumed to be inaccurate at best, manipulative at...Daugiau...
In the updated 2020 edition of this classic text, Allan J. Lichtman applies his trademark 13 keys to predicting the outcome of presidential elections to every election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2020 race, dispelli...Daugiau...
Outlines a blueprint for how Donald Trump may win reelection by gaining the support of unexpected voters and vanquishing progressive Democrats. The conservative commentator and author of the best-selling Big Agenda outlines a blueprint...Daugiau...
Has Trump already stolen the 2020 election? Vote theft was once considered to be a marginal issue that no one wanted to talk about, but as the stakes have risen and the facts have become known--in large part thanks to this author--it is now recogniz...Daugiau...
This book is a comprehensive content analysis of the use of polls by the three major television network newscasts during presidential general election campaigns from 1968 to 2016. It documents the dramatic increase of polls and the declin...Daugiau...
Take a tour through the elections since 2016 and the Republican Party&;s&; strongest stances to understand the impending defeat of Donald Trump in the 2020 Presidential election. Downfall does not offer a prediction...Daugiau...
The importance of social media as a way to monitor an electoral campaign is well established. Day-by-day, hour-by-hour evaluation of the evolution of online ideas and opinion allows observers and scholars to monitor trends and momentum in public o...Daugiau...
