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Change and Continuity in the 2008 and 2010 Elections [Minkštas viršelis]

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  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 472 pages, aukštis x plotis: 228x152 mm, weight: 660 g
  • Išleidimo metai: 12-May-2011
  • Leidėjas: CQ Press
  • ISBN-10: 1608717984
  • ISBN-13: 9781608717989
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
Change and Continuity in the 2008 and 2010 ElectionsDidesnis paveikslėlis
  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 472 pages, aukštis x plotis: 228x152 mm, weight: 660 g
  • Išleidimo metai: 12-May-2011
  • Leidėjas: CQ Press
  • ISBN-10: 1608717984
  • ISBN-13: 9781608717989
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
Pastovi nuoroda: https://www.kriso.lt/db/9781608717989.html
Raktažodžiai:
This text compares and analyses the U.S. 2008 and 2010 elections, looking at mid-term results, National Election Study surveys and current literature.

In this era of electoral volatility and deep public divide, the mood—and results—of the 2008 and 2010 elections could not have been more different. How do the lessons drawn from the 2008 elections apply to 2010? In careful analysis of both contests, the authors examine the midterm election results and then turn to their analysis of the National Election Study surveys, while making sure to incorporate and discuss the most recent literature. Updates to this edition include coverage of:

  • the difference between the 2008 and 2010 electorates;
  • the dominance of the economy in both races and their outcomes;
  • the impact of unified party government on nationalizing elections;
  • the virtual elimination of “cross-pressured” congressional districts;
  • the magnitude of campaign spending and its consequences;
  • the role of the Tea Party movement; and
  • the outlook for the 2012 elections—and likely presidential candidates.

As with all books in the Change and Continuity series, the authors present election data in a straightforward, accessible manner with an array of thorough, yet student-friendly graphics.

Tables and Figures
x
About the Authors xv
Preface xvi
PART I The 2008 Presidential Election
1(79)
1 The Nomination Struggle
14(24)
Brian Pearson
Who Ran
15(2)
The Rules of the Nomination System
17(8)
The Dynamics of Multicandidate Campaigns
25(3)
Explaining Who Won and Who Lost in 2008
28(10)
2 The General Election Campaign
38(18)
The Strategic Context and Candidates' Choices
38(2)
Political Context, Overall Strategy, and Opening Moves
40(6)
Three Weeks, Four Debates
46(2)
End Game: The Battle over Turnout
48(4)
Did the Campaign Make a Difference in the Outcome?
52(4)
3 The Election Results
56(24)
The Election Rules
57(7)
The Pattern of Results
64(4)
State-by-State Results
68(3)
Electoral Change in the Postwar South
71(3)
Other Regional Change
74(3)
The Electoral Vote Balance
77(3)
PART II Voting Behavior in the 2008 Presidential Election
80(143)
4 Who Voted?
85(31)
Voter Turnout, 1828--1916
87(2)
Voter Turnout, 1920--2008
89(5)
Voter Turnout among Social Groups
94(8)
Why Did Voter Turnout Decline after 1960?
102(6)
Election-Specific Factors
108(1)
Does Low Voter Turnout Matter?
109(7)
5 Social Forces and the Vote
116(26)
How Social Groups Voted in 2008
117(8)
How Social Groups Voted during the Postwar Years
125(14)
Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down
139(3)
6 Candidates, Issues, and the Vote
142(27)
Attitudes toward the Candidates
143(2)
Prospective Evaluations
145(5)
The Concerns of the Electorate
150(2)
Issue Positions and Perceptions
152(4)
Issue Voting Criteria
156(4)
Apparent Issue Voting in 2008
160(6)
Conclusion
166(3)
7 Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice
169(24)
What Is Retrospective Voting?
170(3)
Evaluations of Government Performance on Important Problems
173(4)
Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent
177(6)
Foreign Policy Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent
183(2)
Evaluations of the Incumbent
185(2)
The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations
187(4)
Conclusion
191(2)
8 Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote
193(30)
Party Identification: The Standard View
194(1)
Party Identification: An Alternative View
195(2)
Party Identification in the Electorate
197(7)
Party Identification and the Vote
204(3)
Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations
207(13)
Conclusion
220(3)
PART III The 2008 and 2010 Congressional Elections
223(98)
9 Candidates and Outcomes in 2008
228(42)
Election Outcomes in 2008
229(12)
Candidates' Resources and Election Outcomes
241(11)
The 2008 Elections: The Impact on Congress
252(8)
The 2010 Elections and Beyond
260(10)
10 The Congressional Electorate in 2008
270(14)
Social Forces and the Congressional Vote
270(3)
Issues and the Congressional Vote
273(2)
Party Identification and the Congressional Vote
275(1)
Incumbency and the Congressional Vote
276(2)
The Congressional Vote as Referendum
278(3)
Presidential Coattails and the Congressional Vote
281(1)
Conclusion
282(2)
11 The 2010 Congressional Elections
284(37)
The Pattern of Outcomes
284(3)
Assessing Victory and Explaining the Results
287(4)
National and Local Influences in Congressional Elections
291(16)
The 2010 Elections: The Impact on Congress
307(6)
The 2012 Elections and Beyond
313(8)
PART IV The 2008 and 2010 Elections in Perspective
321(26)
12 The 2008 and 2010 Elections and the Future of American Politics
326(21)
Prospects for the Democrats
332(4)
Prospects for the Republicans
336(6)
Prospects for a New Political Party
342(2)
Prospects for Continued Electoral Volatility
344(3)
Appendix 347(6)
Notes 353(78)
Suggested Readings 431(16)
Index 447
Paul R. Abramson is professor of political science at Michigan State University. He is coauthor of ValueChange in Global Perspective (1995) and author of Political Attitudes in America (1983), The Political Socialization of Black Americans (1977), and Generational Change in American Politics (1975).  

John H. Aldrich is Pfizer-Pratt University Professor of Political Science at Duke University. He is author of Why Parties: A Second Look (2011), coeditor of Positive Changes in Political Science (2007), and author of Why Parties (1995) and Before the Convention (1980). He is a past president of both the Southern Political Science Association and the Midwest Political Science Association and is serving as president of the American Political Science Association. In 2001 he was elected a fellow in the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.





David W. Rohde is Ernestine Friedl Professor of Political Science and director of the Political Institutions and Public Choice Program at Duke University. He is coeditor of Why Not Parties? (2008), author of Parties and Leaders in the Postreform House (1991), coeditor of Home Style and Washington Work (1989), and coauthor of Supreme Court Decision Making (1976).