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Change and Continuity in the 2008 Elections [Minkštas viršelis]

  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 306 pages, weight: 590 g
  • Serija: Change & Continuity in the Elections
  • Išleidimo metai: 15-Dec-2009
  • Leidėjas: CQ Press
  • ISBN-10: 1604265205
  • ISBN-13: 9781604265200
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 306 pages, weight: 590 g
  • Serija: Change & Continuity in the Elections
  • Išleidimo metai: 15-Dec-2009
  • Leidėjas: CQ Press
  • ISBN-10: 1604265205
  • ISBN-13: 9781604265200
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
One of the first texts to make use of the 2008 National Election Study results, this new edition of Change and Continuity will put the momentous recent elections into historical context for your students.





Questions considered include: What were the impact of race and gender in this election cycle? How did fundraising during the "invisible primary" shape the nomination contest? To what extent did youth participation determine the outcome of the election? What effect did new media have on the campaign and voter turnout? What role did the economic crisis play in voters choices? Was 2008 a year for partisan realignment of the electorate? This well-respected author team delves deeply into each area, armed with an array of thorough, yet student-friendly data, graphics, and figures. As with all books in the Change and Continuity series, the authors present election data from a variety of sources in a straightforward, accessible manner and make sure to incorporate and discuss the most recent research.
Tables and Figures xii
About the Authors xvi
Preface xvii
PART I The 2008 Presidential Election 1
1 The Nomination Struggle With Brian Pearson
14
Who Ran
15
The Rules of the Nomination System
17
The Dynamics of Multicandidate Campaigns
25
Explaining Who Won and Who Lost in 2008
28
2 The General Election Campaign
38
The Strategic Context and Candidates' Choices
38
Political Context, Overall Strategy, and Opening Moves
40
Three Weeks, Four Debates
46
End Game: The Battle over Turnout
48
Did the Campaign Make a Difference in the Outcome?
52
3 The Election Results
56
The Election Rules
57
The Pattern of Results
64
State-by-State Results
68
Electoral Change in the Postwar South
71
Other Regional Change
74
The Electoral Vote Balance
77
PART II Voting Behavior in the 2008 Presidential Election 80
4 Who Voted?
85
Voter Turnout, 1828-1916
87
Voter Turnout, 1920-2008
89
Voter Turnout among Social Groups
94
Why Did Voter Turnout Decline after 1960?
102
Election-Specific Factors
108
Does Low Voter Turnout Matter?
109
5 Social Forces and the Vote
116
How Social Groups Voted in 2008
117
How Social Groups Voted during the Postwar Years
125
Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down
139
6 Candidates, Issues, and the Vote
142
Attitudes toward the Candidates
143
Prospective Evaluations
145
The Concerns of the Electorate
150
Issue Positions and Perceptions
152
Issue Voting Criteria
156
Apparent Issue Voting in 2008
160
Conclusion
166
7 Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice
169
What Is Retrospective Voting?
170
Evaluations of Government Performance on Important Problems
173
Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent
177
Foreign Policy Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent
183
Evaluations of the Incumbent
185
The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations
187
Conclusion
191
8 Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote
193
Party Identification: The Standard View
194
Party Identification: An Alternative View
195
Party Identification in the Electorate
197
Party Identification and the Vote
204
Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations
207
Conclusion
220
PART III The 2008 Congressional Elections 223
9 Candidates and Outcomes in 2008
228
Election Outcomes in 2008
229
Candidates' Resources and Election Outcomes
241
The 2008 Elections: The Impact on Congress
252
The 2010 Elections and Beyond
260
10 The Congressional Electorate in 2008
270
Social Forces and the Congressional Vote
270
Issues and the Congressional Vote
273
Party Identification and the Congressional Vote
275
Incumbency and the Congressional Vote
276
The Congressional Vote as Referendum
278
Presidential Coattails and the Congressional Vote
281
Conclusion
282
PART IV The 2008 Elections in Perspective 284
11 The 2008 Elections and the Future of American Politics
290
Prospects for the Democrats
296
Prospects for the Republicans
299
Prospects for a New Political Party
304
Prospects for Continued Electoral Volatility
306
Appendix 307
Notes 313
Suggested Readings 383
Index 397
Paul R. Abramson is professor of political science at Michigan State University. He is coauthor of ValueChange in Global Perspective (1995) and author of Political Attitudes in America (1983), The Political Socialization of Black Americans (1977), and Generational Change in American Politics (1975).  

John H. Aldrich is Pfizer-Pratt University Professor of Political Science at Duke University. He is author of Why Parties: A Second Look (2011), coeditor of Positive Changes in Political Science (2007), and author of Why Parties (1995) and Before the Convention (1980). He is a past president of both the Southern Political Science Association and the Midwest Political Science Association and is serving as president of the American Political Science Association. In 2001 he was elected a fellow in the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.





David W. Rohde is Ernestine Friedl Professor of Political Science and director of the Political Institutions and Public Choice Program at Duke University. He is coeditor of Why Not Parties? (2008), author of Parties and Leaders in the Postreform House (1991), coeditor of Home Style and Washington Work (1989), and coauthor of Supreme Court Decision Making (1976).