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Change and Continuity in the 2012 Elections [Minkštas viršelis]

  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 408 pages, aukštis x plotis: 228x152 mm, weight: 540 g
  • Išleidimo metai: 22-May-2014
  • Leidėjas: CQ Press
  • ISBN-10: 1452240450
  • ISBN-13: 9781452240459
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 408 pages, aukštis x plotis: 228x152 mm, weight: 540 g
  • Išleidimo metai: 22-May-2014
  • Leidėjas: CQ Press
  • ISBN-10: 1452240450
  • ISBN-13: 9781452240459
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
This supplementary text/reference for students places the 2012 presidential and congressional elections in historical context, highlighting change and continuity and providing a detailed analysis of individual-level voting behavior. The book draws on the 2012 American National Election Studies survey, the General Social Surveys, and data from the US Census Bureau in order to shed light on how issues, candidates, parties, and economic conditions affect voter behavior. The 2012 elections are analyzed from the perspective of political science in an effort to find answers to questions about the sources of Obama’s victory in 2012 and the electoral forces at work in presidential and congressional elections. The book begins with a chronological narrative of the presidential and general election campaigns, then looks at actual election results, social factors that influence voters, voter attitudes toward the candidates and the issues, and the impact of party loyalty on voting. Annotation ©2014 Ringgold, Inc., Portland, OR (protoview.com)
Tables and Figures
viii
About the Authors xii
Preface xiv
Introduction 1(14)
Change and Continuity
4(5)
Voters and the Act of Voting
9(1)
Survey Research Sampling
10(2)
Plan of the Book
12(3)
1 The Nomination Struggle
15(24)
Who Ran
17(2)
The Rules of the Nomination System
19(10)
The Dynamics of Multicandidate Campaigns
29(10)
2 The General Election Campaign
39(18)
The Strategic Context and Candidates' Choices
39(2)
Political Context, Overall Strategy, and Opening Moves
41(3)
From the Conventions to the Debates
44(4)
The End Game and the Struggle over Turnout
48(5)
Did the Campaign Make a Difference?
53(4)
3 The Election Results
57(25)
The Election Rules
63(3)
The Pattern of Results
66(4)
State-by-State Results
70(5)
Electoral Change in the Postwar South
75(3)
The Electoral Vote Balance
78(4)
4 Who Voted?
82(33)
Voter Turnout, 1789--1916
84(3)
Voter Turnout, 1920--2012
87(5)
Voter Turnout among Social Groups
92(10)
Changes in Turnout after 1960
102(5)
Election-Specific Factors
107(2)
Does Low Voter Turnout Matter?
109(6)
5 Social Forces and the Vote
115(30)
How Social Groups Voted in 2012
116(10)
How Social Groups Voted during the Postwar Years
126(16)
Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down
142(3)
6 Candidates, Issues, and the Vote
145(24)
Attitudes toward the Candidates
146(4)
Prospective Evaluations
150(4)
Issue Positions and Perceptions
154(3)
Issue Voting Criteria
157(3)
Apparent Issue Voting in 2012
160(8)
Conclusion
168(1)
7 Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice
169(23)
What Is Retrospective Voting?
170(4)
Evaluations of Government Performance on Important Problems
174(2)
Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent
176(6)
Foreign Policy Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent
182(2)
Evaluations of the Incumbent
184(3)
The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations
187(3)
Conclusion
190(2)
8 Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote
192(32)
Party Identification: The Original View
193(1)
Party Identification: An Alternative View
194(2)
Party Identification in the Electorate
196(9)
Hispanic Partisanship in 2008 and 2012
205(1)
Party Identification and the Vote
206(3)
Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations
209(11)
Conclusion
220(4)
9 Candidates and Outcomes in 2012
224
Election Outcomes in 2012
225(13)
Candidates' Resources and Election Outcomes
238(10)
The 2012 Elections: The Impact on Congress
248(8)
The 2014 Elections and Beyond
256
Paul R. Abramson is professor of political science at Michigan State University. He is coauthor of ValueChange in Global Perspective (1995) and author of Political Attitudes in America (1983), The Political Socialization of Black Americans (1977), and Generational Change in American Politics (1975).  

John H. Aldrich is Pfizer-Pratt University Professor of Political Science at Duke University. He is author of Why Parties: A Second Look (2011), coeditor of Positive Changes in Political Science (2007), and author of Why Parties (1995) and Before the Convention (1980). He is a past president of both the Southern Political Science Association and the Midwest Political Science Association and is serving as president of the American Political Science Association. In 2001 he was elected a fellow in the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.

Brad T. Gomez is associate professor of political science at Florida State University. His research interests focus on voting behavior and public opinion with a particular interest in how citizens attribute responsibility for socio-political events. His published work appears in the American Political Science Review, the American Journal of Political Science, the Journal of Politics, and other journals and edited volumes.





David W. Rohde is Ernestine Friedl Professor of Political Science and director of the Political Institutions and Public Choice Program at Duke University. He is coeditor of Why Not Parties? (2008), author of Parties and Leaders in the Postreform House (1991), coeditor of Home Style and Washington Work (1989), and coauthor of Supreme Court Decision Making (1976).