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  • Formatas: 180 pages
  • Išleidimo metai: 08-Jan-2009
  • Leidėjas: National Academies Press
  • Kalba: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780309178037

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The census coverage measurement programs have historically addressed three primary objectives: (1) to inform users about the quality of the census counts; (2) to help identify sources of error to improve census taking, and (3) to provide alternative counts based on information from the coverage measurement program.

In planning the 1990 and 2000 censuses, the main objective was to produce alternative counts based on the measurement of net coverage error. For the 2010 census coverage measurement program, the Census Bureau will deemphasize that goal, and is instead planning to focus on the second goal of improving census processes.







This book, which details the findings of the National Research Council's Panel on Coverage Evaluation and Correlation Bias, strongly supports the Census Bureau's change in goal. However, the panel finds that the current plans for data collection, data analysis, and data products are still too oriented towards measurement of net coverage error to fully exploit this new focus. Although the Census Bureau has taken several important steps to revise data collection and analysis procedures and data products, this book recommends further steps to enhance the value of coverage measurement for the improvement of future census processes.





Table of Contents



Front Matter Executive Summary 1 Introduction 2 Fundamentals of Coverage Measurement 3 Plans for the 2010 Census 4 Technical Issues 5 Analytic Use of Coverage Measurement Data References and Bibliography Appendix A: A Framework for Components of Census Coverage Error Appendix B: Logistic Regression for Modeling Match and Correct Enumeration Rates Appendix C: Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff Committee on National Statistics
GLOSSARY OF TECHNICAL TERMS xiii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
1 INTRODUCTION 7
Program Objectives,
7
Panel Charge and Work Plan,
9
Plan of the Report,
12
2 FUNDAMENTALS OF COVERAGE MEASUREMENT 15
Types of Census Errors,
16
Coverage Error Metrics for Aggregates,
19
Purposes,
22
Description and History,
27
Demographic Analysis,
36
1950-1990 Censuses,
40
2000 Census,
45
3 PLANS FOR THE 2010 CENSUS 55
Major Design Changes,
55
Treatment of Duplicates,
59
Contamination,
67
Administrative Records,
73
4 TECHNICAL ISSUES 81
Sample Design for Census Coverage Measurement,
81
Logistic Regression Models,
89
Missing Data in Net Coverage Error Models,
102
Matching Cases with Minimal Information,
109
Demographic Analysis,
111
5 ANALYTIC USE OF COVERAGE MEASUREMENT DATA 119
Framework for Understanding Coverage Errors,
119
Statistical Modeling,
121
Census Data Products for Process Improvement,
130
REFERENCES AND BIBLIOGRAPHY 137
APPENDIXES
A A Framework for Components of Census Coverage Error
145
B Logistic Regression for Modeling Match and Correct Enumeration Rates
153
C Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff
157