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El. knyga: Crossing the Divide: Rural to Urban Migration in Developing Countries

(Professor of Economics, Boston University)
  • Formatas: PDF+DRM
  • Išleidimo metai: 03-Nov-2021
  • Leidėjas: Oxford University Press Inc
  • Kalba: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780197602164
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  • Formatas: PDF+DRM
  • Išleidimo metai: 03-Nov-2021
  • Leidėjas: Oxford University Press Inc
  • Kalba: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780197602164
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"The magnitudes, nature, causes, and consequences of population movements between rural and urban sectors of developing countries are examined. The prior literature is reviewed, proving limited in key dimensions. Evidence is presented from a new databaseencompassing nationally representative data on seventy-five developing countries. Several measures of migration propensities are derived for the separate countries. The situation in each country is documented, both in historical context and following thetime of enumeration. Rural-urban migrants enjoy major gains; those who do not move forego substantial, potential gains. Barriers to migrating are very real for disadvantaged groups. Migration among ethnolinguistic communities is a pervasive theme; the context in which each group lives is detailed. Upward mobility in incomes in towns is affirmed, and the departure of adults from rural homes raises living standards of the family left behind but consequent separation of married couples is endemic to particular societies. Reclassification of rural areas as urban is shown to be more important than net rural-urban moves in incremental urbanization and rural-urban moves are less permanent than normally portrayed. A contention of symmetry between rural-urban andurban-rural migration propensities is rejected and indications that these twin movements result in sorting of labor by skills is not supported. Moreover, step and onward migration are not as common as popularly claimed. Previously neglected topics studied include autonomous migration by women, child migration, and networks at origin. Policies to limit rural-urban migration are questioned, rather planning for managed urban growth is vital as climate change continues. Key words: Rural, urban, migration, development, literature, database, reclassification, sorting, policies"--


A comprehensive examination of the nature, causes, and consequences of internal migration in developing countries

Despite the key role of rural-urban migration in structural transformation and the persistence of lower living standards in the countryside, active policies to reduce, or even reverse, movement into towns are common in major developing regions. Climate change is shifting the calculus: the resulting erosion to agricultural opportunities, combined with increasing frequency of natural disasters, is already resulting in substantial population displacement, mostly internally and into towns in particular.

Crossing the Divide examines the nature, causes, and consequences of population movements between the rural and urban sectors of developing countries. Using nationally representative, micro-level data on individuals from seventy-five countries in Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and the Caribbean over the course of several decades, Robert E.B. Lucas moves well beyond existing studies to provide the most comprehensive and definitive treatment of internal migration currently available. Lucas analyzes these data on a country-by-country basis, considering both rural-urban and urban-rural movements, to reassess conventional understandings and offer significant new findings on who moves and who stays, the economic incentives and barriers to moving, the role of social networks, return and onward migration, and the impact of migration on families, especially children.

Recenzijos

Robert E.B. Lucas has masterfully put together the considerable body of literature available on rural to urban migration in the developing world and then adds fresh insights from his own analysis of quantitative data sources that have not previously been analyzed in these ways. The book goes beyond ambitious; it is encyclopedic in scope but, unlike most encyclopedias, has a single voice from a gifted researcher and author. It will make a major contribution to our understanding of internal migration. * Susan Martin, Donald G. Herzberg Professor Emerita of International Migration, Georgetown University

*

Figures xi
Tables xiii
Preface xvii
Acknowledgments xix
Abbreviations xxi
1 An Introduction and Preview 1(12)
2 Data Sources and Issues in Measurement 13(18)
2.1 Lifetime Migration
14(4)
2.1.1 Defining Rural and Urban
14(3)
2.1.2 Establishing the Status of the Migrant's Origin
17(1)
2.2 Interim Moves
18(1)
2.3 Some Comparisons of Alternative Measurement Approaches
19(5)
2.3.1 Imputed Measures of Rural or Urban Birthplace
19(3)
2.3.2 Comparisons across Data Sources
22(2)
2.4 An Implication: Symmetry or Asymmetry in Moves between Rural and Urban Areas?
24(7)
3 Country-Specific Magnitudes of Migration between Rural and Urban Sectors 31(84)
3.1 Measurement Results
31(12)
3.1.1 Introducing Four Measures of Country-Specific Migration Propensities
31(2)
3.1.2 Depicting Parallels and Contrasts: A First Look
33(10)
3.1.2.1 Regional Patterns
33(1)
3.1.2.2 Gross versus Net Rural-Urban Migration in Perspective
34(1)
3.1.2.3 Lifetime Stocks of Migrants Relative to Recent Flows
35(3)
3.1.2.4 A Digression on Rural-Rural and Urban-Urban Movements
38(2)
3.1.2.5 The Role of Rural-Urban Migration in Accounting for Increasing Urbanization
40(3)
3.2 The Country-Specific Contexts
43(61)
3.2.1 Africa
44(25)
3.2.1.1 Southern Africa
45(3)
3.2.1.2 East Africa
48(8)
3.2.1.3 Middle Africa
56(2)
3.2.1.4 West Africa
58(8)
3.2.1.5 North Africa
66(3)
3.2.2 The Asia-Pacific Region
69(21)
3.2.2.1 West Asia
69(4)
3.2.2.2 Central Asia
73(3)
3.2.2.3 South Asia
76(5)
3.2.2.4 East Asia and the Pacific Region
81(9)
3.2.3 Latin America and the Caribbean
90(25)
3.2.3.1 The Caribbean
91(2)
3.2.3.2 Central America
93(4)
3.2.3.3 South America
97(7)
3.3 Closing Remarks
104(11)
4 Who Migrates, Who Stays? 115(72)
4.1 A Literature Summary
115(13)
4.1.1 Age
115(1)
4.1.2 Gender and Marital Status
116(6)
4.1.3 Education
122(5)
4.1.3.1 Returns to Education in Rural and Urban Areas
123(1)
4.1.3.2 Selection on Education in Rural-Urban Migration
124(3)
4.1.4 Distance and Gravity Models of Migration
127(1)
4.2 New Evidence: Characterizing the Movers
128(59)
4.2.1 Selection on Education
129(5)
4.2.1.1 Overall Selection on Education in Rural-Urban and Urban-Rural Migration
129(1)
4.2.1.2 Selection versus Sorting
130(2)
4.2.1.3 Selection on Education Revisited
132(2)
4.2.2 Gender and Marital Status
134(9)
4.2.2.1 Decomposing the Gender Gap in Rural-Urban Migration
137(1)
4.2.2.2 Autonomous Rural-Urban Migration by Women
138(5)
4.2.3 Ethnicity, Language, and Religion
143(31)
4.2.3.1 Tentative Generalizations
143(2)
4.2.3.2 Country-Specific Findings
145(27)
4.2.3.2.1 Africa
146(13)
4.2.3.2.2 Asia-Pacific Region
159(7)
4.2.3.2.3 Latin America and the Caribbean
166(6)
4.2.3.3 Summing Up
172(2)
4.2.4 Other Correlates
174(13)
5 Economic Motives and Barriers to Internal Migration 187(60)
5.1 Labor Migration: The Individualistic View
187(14)
5.1.1 Toward Structural Estimation
188(9)
5.1.2 Augmented Migration Equations and Underlying Factors
197(4)
5.2 Family Decisions and the New Economics of Labor Migration
201(2)
5.3 On Barriers to Internal Migration
203(10)
5.3.1 Wealth and Access to Credit
204(4)
5.3.2 Separation of Production and Off-Farm Work in Agricultural Households
208(5)
5.4 Extending the Evidence: Selection and the Returns to Migration and Staying
213(16)
5.4.1 Measuring Incomes
213(3)
5.4.2 Migrant Selection and Estimating Incomes of Migrants and Stayers
216(1)
5.4.3 The Parameters of Income Gain
217(30)
5.4.3.1 Sensitivity Analysis
226(3)
5.4.4 Migration Outcomes and the Returns to Migration
229(18)
6 The Roles of Social Networks 247(28)
6.1 Social Networks and Internal Migration: Approaches and Limitations
247(6)
6.1.1 The Diversity in Measures of Networks
248(2)
6.1.2 Different Networks for Different Folks
250(2)
6.1.3 Alternative Views of the Role of Networks
252(1)
6.2 Gravity Models and the Dynamics of Cumulative Inertia
253(2)
6.3 Urban Networks in Rural-Urban Migration: Nationally Representative Estimates
255(6)
6.3.1 Toward Exploring Causality
255(6)
6.4 Exploring Multiple Networks
261(2)
6.4.1 Gendered Networks
261(1)
6.4.2 Alternative Extensions
261(2)
6.5 Networks at Origin
263(7)
6.6 Summing Up
270(5)
7 The Impermanence of Moves: Return and Onward Migration 275(56)
7.1 Evidence on the Impermanence of Moves
275(8)
7.1.1 Observed Patterns
276(7)
7.2 Return Migration
283(17)
7.2.1 Selection into Return
289(5)
7.2.1.1 Some Nationally Representative Estimates: With and without Sample Section
290(4)
7.2.2 Notes on the Age of Return
294(3)
7.2.3 Returning Home?
297(2)
7.2.4 Gains in Living Standards: Returned Migrants, Continuing Migrants, and Stayers
299(1)
7.3 Selection and Upward Mobility among Rural-Urban Migrants
300(7)
7.4 Short-Term Seasonal Migration
307(13)
7.4.1 Patterns in Temporary Absence: Partial New Evidence
310(21)
7.4.1.1 Short-Term Migration in China and India
316(4)
7.5 Notes on Repeat and Step Migration
320(11)
8 Impacts of Migration on Families 331(54)
8.1 Migrant Departure and the Living Standards of Those Left Behind
331(10)
8.1.1 Economic Effects on the Family
331(3)
8.1.2 Circles beyond the Family
334(2)
8.1.3 Furthering the Evidence
336(5)
8.2 Couples: Cohabitation and Migration
341(9)
8.2.1 The Incidence of Conjugal Separation: Rural Stayers and Rural-Urban Migrants
343(3)
8.2.2 Characterizing Married Migrants Living Apart from Their Partners
346(4)
8.3 Migration and the Well-Being of Children
350(35)
8.3.1 On Findings to Date
350(7)
8.3.2 Patterns in the Migration of Children: New Evidence on a Neglected Topic
357(1)
8.3.3 The Family Circumstances of Children: The Intersections of Child and Parental Migrations
358(6)
8.3.3.1 A Note on Categories of Parental Absence
358(3)
8.3.3.2 Implications for the Family Circumstance of Children
361(3)
8.3.4 Impacts on the Education of Children
364(23)
8.3.4.1 Education and Migration by Children: A First Look
365(4)
8.3.4.2 Child Education, Child and Parental Migration, and Family Circumstances
369(5)
8.3.4.3 Children Left behind in Rural Homes: Migrant Parents versus Remittance Inflows
374(11)
9 In Perspective: A Summing-Up 385(26)
9.1 Rural-Urban Migration and Urbanization
385(2)
9.2 The Role of Rural-Urban Migration in Economic Development
387(8)
9.2.1 Income Gains and the Barriers to Moving
387(2)
9.2.2 Selection and Sorting by Education: Implications for the Future of Urbanization
389(1)
9.2.3 Changes in Living Standards for Families Left behind
390(1)
9.2.4 Distance, Networks, and Cumulative Isolation
391(3)
9.2.5 Inclusion and Exclusion of Ethnolinguistic and Religious Communities
394(1)
9.3 The Incidence and Importance of Temporary Moves
395(3)
9.4 The Gender Balance in Crossing the Rural-Urban Divide
398(2)
9.4.1 Autonomous Migration by Women
399(1)
9.5 Implications for the Structure and Well-Being of Families
400(6)
9.5.1 Cohabitation versus Conjugal Separation among Married Couples
401(1)
9.5.2 Parental Migration, Child Migration, and the Family Circumstances of Children
402(2)
9.5.3 Migration and the Welfare of Children
404(2)
9.6 Rural-Urban Migration: The Policy Framework
406(3)
9.7 A Postscript: The COVID Pandemic
409(2)
Appendix A: Data Sources and Issues in Measurement 411(14)
Appendix B: Country-Specific Magnitudes of Migration between Rural and Urban Sectors 425(16)
Appendix C: Who Migrates, Who Stays? 441(74)
Appendix D: Economic Motives and Barriers to Internal Migration 515(47)
Appendix E: The Roles of Social Networks 562(33)
Appendix F: The Impermanence of Moves: Return and Onward Migration 595(6)
Appendix G: Impacts of Migration on Families 601(30)
References 631(36)
Index 667
Robert E.B. Lucas is Professor of Economics, Boston University. He is also Research Affiliate at the Center for International Studies, MIT.