Acknowledgment |
|
vii | |
Preface |
|
ix | |
Abstract |
|
xi | |
Zusammenfassung |
|
xiii | |
Abbreviations |
|
xix | |
|
|
xxi | |
|
|
xxiii | |
|
|
1 | (6) |
|
|
1 | (2) |
|
1.2 Statement of the problem |
|
|
3 | (2) |
|
|
5 | (1) |
|
|
5 | (1) |
|
1.3.2 Specific objectives |
|
|
5 | (1) |
|
|
6 | (1) |
|
Chapter 2 Theoretical Background |
|
|
7 | (12) |
|
|
7 | (1) |
|
2.1 Land use and land cover |
|
|
7 | (3) |
|
2.1.1 Definition and clarifications |
|
|
7 | (1) |
|
|
8 | (1) |
|
2.1.3 LULC change causes and consequences |
|
|
9 | (1) |
|
2.1.4 Driving factors of LULC change |
|
|
9 | (1) |
|
2.2 Combination of remote sensing and geographic information systems |
|
|
10 | (1) |
|
2.3 Definition of landscape metric |
|
|
11 | (2) |
|
|
13 | (6) |
|
|
13 | (1) |
|
|
13 | (1) |
|
|
14 | (5) |
|
|
19 | (24) |
|
|
19 | (9) |
|
|
19 | (2) |
|
|
21 | (1) |
|
3.1.3 Meteorological conditions |
|
|
22 | (1) |
|
3.1.4 Hydrologic conditions |
|
|
23 | (1) |
|
|
24 | (4) |
|
3.2 Social and economic conditions |
|
|
28 | (12) |
|
3.2.1 Economic development |
|
|
28 | (2) |
|
|
30 | (1) |
|
3.2.3 The situation of economic sectors |
|
|
31 | (1) |
|
3.2.4 Population, labor, employment, and income |
|
|
32 | (3) |
|
3.2.5 The situation of infrastructure |
|
|
35 | (5) |
|
3.3 General assessment of natural, socioeconomic condition |
|
|
40 | (3) |
|
Chapter 4 Data and Methodology |
|
|
43 | (50) |
|
|
43 | (1) |
|
|
43 | (3) |
|
|
46 | (7) |
|
|
53 | (2) |
|
4.3.1 Geometric correction |
|
|
53 | (1) |
|
4.3.2 Radiometric normalization |
|
|
53 | (2) |
|
4.4 Image classification and accuracy assessment |
|
|
55 | (6) |
|
4.4.1 Image classification |
|
|
55 | (2) |
|
4.4.2 Accuracy assessment |
|
|
57 | (4) |
|
|
61 | (1) |
|
|
61 | (4) |
|
|
65 | (25) |
|
|
67 | (11) |
|
|
78 | (6) |
|
4.7.3 Accuracy assessment of model |
|
|
84 | (6) |
|
4.8 ANOVA analysis for landscape metrics under scenarios |
|
|
90 | (3) |
|
Chapter 5 Land-Use/Cover Changes |
|
|
93 | (20) |
|
|
93 | (1) |
|
5.1 Spatial-temporal dynamics and evolution of LULC changes |
|
|
93 | (15) |
|
|
99 | (4) |
|
|
103 | (2) |
|
|
105 | (1) |
|
|
106 | (1) |
|
|
106 | (1) |
|
|
107 | (1) |
|
5.2 Landscape pattern analysis at class level |
|
|
108 | (2) |
|
5.3 Discussions and conclusions |
|
|
110 | (3) |
|
Chapter 6 Modeling Land Use/Cover Changes |
|
|
113 | (46) |
|
|
113 | (1) |
|
6.1 Demands of land-use/cover types |
|
|
113 | (6) |
|
6.1.1 Demands of land-use/cover types from 1996 to 2009 |
|
|
113 | (3) |
|
6.1.2 Demands of land-use/cover types from 2009 to 2030 |
|
|
116 | (3) |
|
6.2 Driving factors for allocation |
|
|
119 | (5) |
|
6.3 Logistic regression analysis |
|
|
124 | (3) |
|
6.4 Elasticity coefficients |
|
|
127 | (1) |
|
|
128 | (1) |
|
6.6 Validation output from the Dyna-CLUE model |
|
|
128 | (3) |
|
|
128 | (2) |
|
6.6.2 Agreement components |
|
|
130 | (1) |
|
6.7 Analysis of the changes of scenarios |
|
|
131 | (10) |
|
6.7.1 LULC changes under different scenarios |
|
|
131 | (7) |
|
6.7.2 LULC changes according to administration boundary |
|
|
138 | (3) |
|
6.8 Landscape structure of scenarios |
|
|
141 | (15) |
|
|
141 | (3) |
|
|
144 | (10) |
|
6.8.3 Effects of land-use scenarios to landscape structure |
|
|
154 | (2) |
|
6.9 Discussions and conclusions |
|
|
156 | (3) |
|
|
156 | (1) |
|
|
157 | (2) |
|
|
159 | (26) |
|
|
159 | (1) |
|
|
159 | (4) |
|
|
163 | (22) |
|
|
165 | (20) |
|
|
185 | |
|
Appendix 1 Accuracy assessment error matrices |
|
|
185 | (16) |
|
|
185 | (4) |
|
|
189 | (4) |
|
|
193 | (4) |
|
|
197 | (4) |
|
Appendix 2 Scenarios of land-use/cover types from 1996 to 2030 |
|
|
201 | (4) |
|
Appendix 3 Logistic regression of land-use/cover types |
|
|
205 | (3) |
|
Appendix 4 Area under the curve of land-use/cover types |
|
|
208 | (3) |
|
Appendix 5 Main parameters of Dyna-CLUE model |
|
|
211 | (2) |
|
Appendix 6 Main results obtained with ANOVA |
|
|
213 | |