El. knyga: Governance Cycle in Parliamentary Democracies: A Computational Social Science Approach

'When what works in theory fails in practice, it is time to think differently. Here, de Marchi and Laver develop a new theoretical approach for understanding the governance cycle in parliamentary democracies. By skillfully melding ideas from fields such as game theory, behavioral decision making, AI, and the computational modeling of complex systems, they produce key new insights into the behavior of political systems while also providing a masterful demonstration of the theoretical potential of 21st century social science.' John Miller, Carnegie Mellon 'Finally! de Marchi and Laver show, with smart theory and new methods capable of dealing with real world complexity, how and when savvy politicians form governments, sustain them, and bring them down. This is a terrifically useful book that comparativists can apply to understanding government formation almost anywhere, written in an accessible and often witty style.' Steven Wilkinson, Yale University 'In this foundational contribution to computational social science, de Marchi and Laver transform institutional analysis. Most important, they privilege realism by constructing and analyzing a far more descriptively accurate model of government formation processes than exists in the formal literature. That realism precludes the derivation of optimal strategies creating an opportunity for the authors to make plausible assumptions about party behavior. Their double pivot - toward institutional realism and away from full rationality - produces a compelling model with strong empirical support that will provide a template for future scholars.' Scott Page, University of Michigan