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Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking [Kietas viršelis]

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Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity.

This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.

Preface xi
Introduction 1(24)
Michael D. Bordo
Athanasios Orphanides
Panel Session I Pioneering Central Bankers Remember
Practical Experiences in Reducing Inflation: The Case of New Zealand
25(12)
Don Brash
Practical Experiences in Reducing Inflation: The Case of Canada
37(24)
John Crow
Discussion
I Early Explanations
1 The Great Inflation: Did the Shadow Know Better?
William Poole
Robert H. Rasche
David C. Wheelock
Comment
61(58)
Christina D. Romer
Discussion
2 The Supply-Shock Explanation of the Great Stagflation Revisited
119(62)
Alan S. Blinder
Jeremy B. Rudd
Discussion
II New Monetary Policy Explanations
3 The Great Inflation Drift
Marvin Goodfriend
Robert G. King
Comment
181(36)
Lars E. O. Svensson
Discussion
4 Falling Behind the Curve: A Positive Analysis of Stop-Start Monetary Policies and the Great Inflation
Andrew Levin
John B. Taylor
Comment
217(38)
Bennett T. McCallum
Discussion
5 Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations
Athanasios Orphanides
John C. Williams
Comment
255(46)
Seppo Honkapohja
Discussion
III Other Countries' Perspectives
6 Opting Out of the Great Inflation: German Monetary Policy after the Breakdown of Bretton Woods
Andreas Beyer
Vitor Gaspar
Christina Gerberding
Otmar Issing
Comment
301(56)
Benjamin M. Friedman
Discussion
7 Great Inflation and Central Bank Independence in Japan
Takatoshi Ito
Comment
357(36)
Frederic S. Mishkin
8 The Great Inflation in the United States and the United Kingdom: Reconciling Policy Decisions and Data Outcomes
Riccardo DiCecio
Edward Nelson
Comment
393(56)
Matthew D. Shapiro
Discussion
IV International Perspectives
9 Bretton Woods and the Great Inflation
Michael D. Bordo
Barry Eichengreen
Comment
449(50)
Allan H. Meltzer
Discussion
Panel Session II Lessons from History
Lessons from History
499(4)
Donald L. Kohn
The Great Inflation: Lessons for Central Banks
503(10)
Lucas Papademos
Understanding Inflation: Lessons of the Past for the Future
513(6)
Harold James
Discussion
Contributors 519(4)
Author Index 523(6)
Subject Index 529
Michael D. Bordo is professor of economics at Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey, and a research associate of the NBER. Athanasios Orphanides is a senior lecturer at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Sloan School of Management and a senior fellow of the Center for Financial Studies at the Goethe University Frankfurt.