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Growth Alternatives Of The Japanese Economy: Structure And Simulations Of Dynamic Econometric Model With Input-output System (Demios) [Kietas viršelis]

(The Int'l Univ Of Japan, Japan), (Univ Of Tsukuba & Int'l Univ Of Japan, Japan)
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Growth Alternatives Of The Japanese Economy: Structure And Simulations Of Dynamic Econometric Model With Input-output System (Demios)Didesnis paveikslėlis
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The book describes the structure of Keynes-Leontief Model (KLM) of Japan and discuss how the Japanese economy could overcome the long-term economic deflation since the mid-1990s. The large scale econometric model and its analysis have been important for planning several policy measures and examining the economic structure of a country. However, it seems that development and maintenance of the KLM would be very costly. The book discusses how the KLM is developed and employed for the policy analyses.

Foreword v
About the Authors ix
Acknowledgments xi
List of Figures
xvii
List of Tables
xix
Chapter 1 Introduction
1(6)
1.1 Dynamics of the Japanese Economy
1(2)
1.2 The Objectives of DEMIOS: A KLM as Policy Tools
3(1)
1.3 Organization of the Book
4(3)
Chapter 2 General Feature of DEMIOS
7(14)
2.1 Basic Structure of the Model: DEMIOS
7(3)
2.2 Sectoral Classification and Database Development
10(2)
2.2.1 Sectoral classification
10(1)
2.2.2 Database development
10(2)
2.3 Modeling and Forecasting of DEMIOS
12(9)
Appendix
15(6)
Chapter 3 Input--Output Model Block
21(46)
3.1 Production and Factor Demands Sub-block
21(3)
3.1.1 Production
21(1)
3.1.2 Factor demands
22(2)
3.2 Prices and Factor Costs Sub-block
24(3)
3.3 I-O Sub-block and VRAS Algorithm
27(2)
3.4 Final Demand Sub-block: Disaggregation of Final Demand
29(38)
Appendix: Regression Results for Sectoral M, IP, LW, W, PX and E
36(31)
Chapter 4 Macroeconomic Model Block
67(24)
4.1 Macro Model Block in DEMIOS: Linkage Between Macro and Sectoral Variables
67(1)
4.2 Macroeconomic Block: Structure of the Model and Regression Results
68(23)
4.2.1 Real expenditure sub-block
68(1)
4.2.1.1 Real household final consumption expenditure
68(2)
4.2.1.2 Real housing investment
70(1)
4.2.1.3 Real private inventory changes
70(1)
4.2.1.4 Real government consumption
71(1)
4.2.1.5 Real non-housing investment, real exports of goods and services and real imports of goods and services
72(1)
4.2.2 Nominal expenditure sub-block
72(2)
4.2.3 Prices and wage rates sub-block
74(3)
4.2.4 Production and labor force sub-block
77(4)
4.2.5 Income distribution sub-block
81(4)
4.2.6 Money and finance sub-block
85(1)
4.2.7 Government finance sub-block
86(3)
4.2.8 Foreign variables and BOP sub-block
89(2)
Chapter 5 Cohort-Type Demographic and Labor Force Block
91(16)
5.1 Simplified Demographic Model
91(2)
5.2 Cohort-type Demographic and Labor Supply Model
93(14)
5.2.1 Population variables
94(1)
5.2.1.1 The number of birth (NPB)
95(2)
5.2.1.2 The number of deaths
97(2)
5.2.1.3 The number of population by age group
99(4)
5.2.2 Labor supply in the cohort-type demographic and labor supply model
103(4)
Chapter 6 Scenario Projections by DEMIOS
107(60)
6.1 National Resilience Plan and its Effects on the Japanese Economy
107(6)
6.1.1 Introduction
107(1)
6.1.2 Assumption of two scenario simulations
108(1)
6.1.3 Simulation results: The effects on the Japanese economy
108(5)
6.1.4 Conclusion
113(1)
6.2 Growth Alternatives in Abenomics by DEMIOS
113(9)
6.2.1 Assumptions of future scenario simulation
114(1)
6.2.2 Three growth scenario projections, FY 2014--2020
115(1)
6.2.3 Simulation results: Major macroeconomic variables and sectoral variables
115(6)
6.2.4 Conclusion
121(1)
6.3 Analysis of Huge Earthquake Damages of East Japan: Huge Damage and Reconstruction --- An Example of Leontief Cross
122(45)
6.3.1 Nation-wide reconstruction program up to 2020 and its impacts on regional economies
125(4)
6.3.2 Regional sub-model
129(2)
Appendix
131(36)
Chapter 7 Concluding Remarks
167(6)
7.1 Summary and Policy Recommendation
167(4)
7.2 Further Study in the Future
171(2)
Bibliography 173(2)
Index 175