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1 Introduction: Principles and Tools of Mathematical Modeling |
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1 | (24) |
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1.1 Role and Stages of Mathematical Modeling |
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1 | (5) |
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1.1.1 Stages of Mathematical Modeling |
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2 | (3) |
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1.1.2 Mathematical Modeling and Computer Simulation |
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5 | (1) |
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6 | (3) |
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1.2.1 Deterministic and Stochastic Models |
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6 | (1) |
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1.2.2 Continuous and Discrete Models |
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7 | (1) |
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1.2.3 Linear and Nonlinear Models |
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8 | (1) |
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1.3 Review of Selected Mathematical Tools |
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9 | (16) |
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1.3.1 Derivatives and Integrals |
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10 | (2) |
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1.3.2 Vector Algebra and Calculus |
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12 | (1) |
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1.3.3 Differential Equations |
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13 | (3) |
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16 | (3) |
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1.3.5 Optimization and Optimal Control |
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19 | (2) |
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21 | (1) |
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22 | (3) |
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Part I Mathematical Models in Economics |
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2 Aggregate Models of Economic Dynamics |
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25 | (28) |
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2.1 Production Functions and Their Types |
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25 | (8) |
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2.1.1 Properties of Production Functions |
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26 | (1) |
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2.1.2 Characteristics of Production Functions |
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26 | (1) |
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2.1.3 Major Types of Production Functions |
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27 | (2) |
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2.1.4 Two-Factor Production Functions |
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29 | (4) |
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2.2 Solow--Swan Model of Economic Dynamics |
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33 | (4) |
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34 | (1) |
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35 | (2) |
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2.3 Optimization Versions of Solow--Swan Model |
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37 | (8) |
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2.3.1 Optimization over Finite Horizon (Solow--Shell Model) |
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38 | (4) |
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2.3.2 Infinite-Horizon Optimization (Solow--Ramsey Model) |
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42 | (2) |
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2.3.3 Central Planner, General Equilibrium, and Nonlinear Utility |
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44 | (1) |
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2.4 Appendix: Maximum Principle |
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45 | (8) |
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47 | (1) |
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2.4.2 Discounted Optimization |
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47 | (1) |
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48 | (1) |
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2.4.4 Transversality Conditions |
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49 | (1) |
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2.4.5 Maximum Principle and Dynamic Programming |
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49 | (1) |
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50 | (1) |
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51 | (2) |
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3 Modeling of Technological Change |
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53 | (26) |
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3.1 Major Concepts of Technological Change |
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53 | (3) |
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3.1.1 Exogenous Autonomous Technological Change |
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54 | (1) |
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3.1.2 Embodied and Disembodied Technological Change |
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55 | (1) |
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3.1.3 Endogenous Technological Change |
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55 | (1) |
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3.1.4 Technological Change as Separate Sector of Economy |
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56 | (1) |
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3.2 Models with Autonomous Technological Change |
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56 | (7) |
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58 | (2) |
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60 | (2) |
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3.2.3 Solow--Ramsey Model |
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62 | (1) |
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3.3 Models with Endogenous Technological Change |
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63 | (10) |
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3.3.1 Induced Technological Change |
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63 | (1) |
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3.3.2 One-Sector Model with Physical and Human Capital |
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64 | (4) |
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3.3.3 Two-Sector Model with Physical and Human Capital (Uzawa--Lucas Model) |
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68 | (2) |
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3.3.4 Knowledge-Based Models of Economic Growth |
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70 | (3) |
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3.4 Modeling of Technological Innovations |
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73 | (6) |
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3.4.1 Inventions, Innovations, and Spillovers |
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73 | (1) |
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3.4.2 Substitution Models of Technological Innovations |
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74 | (2) |
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3.4.3 Diffusion and Evolution Models of Technological Innovation |
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76 | (1) |
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3.4.4 General Purpose Technologies and Technological Breakthroughs |
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77 | (1) |
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77 | (1) |
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78 | (1) |
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4 Models with Heterogeneous Capital |
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79 | (26) |
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4.1 Macroeconomic Vintage Capital Models |
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80 | (7) |
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4.1.1 Solow Vintage Capital Model |
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80 | (2) |
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4.1.2 Vintage Models with Scrapping of Obsolete Capital |
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82 | (2) |
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4.1.3 Two-Sector Vintage Model |
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84 | (1) |
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4.1.4 Optimization Problems in Vintage Models |
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85 | (2) |
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4.2 Vintage Capital Models of a Firm |
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87 | (4) |
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87 | (3) |
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4.2.2 Aggregate Production Functions |
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90 | (1) |
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4.3 Vintage Models with Distributed Investments |
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91 | (5) |
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4.3.1 Optimization Problems |
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93 | (1) |
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4.3.2 Relations to Differential Models of Equipment Replacement |
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94 | (2) |
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4.4 Discrete and Continuous Models of Machine Replacement |
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96 | (9) |
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4.4.1 Multi-machine Replacement Model in Discrete Time |
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96 | (3) |
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4.4.2 One-Machine Replacement in Discrete and Continuous Time |
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99 | (2) |
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101 | (1) |
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102 | (3) |
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5 Optimization of Economic Renovation |
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105 | (28) |
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5.1 Optimal Replacement of One Machine |
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105 | (6) |
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5.1.1 Necessary Condition for an Extremum |
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106 | (1) |
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5.1.2 Qualitative Analysis of Optimal Replacement Policy |
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107 | (4) |
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5.2 Profit-Maximizing Firm Under Resource Restrictions |
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111 | (6) |
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5.2.1 Necessary Condition for an Extremum |
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112 | (2) |
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5.2.2 Structure of Optimal Trajectories |
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114 | (2) |
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5.2.3 Economic Interpretation |
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116 | (1) |
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5.3 Nonlinear Utility Optimization in Ramsey Vintage Model |
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117 | (6) |
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5.3.1 Reduction to One-Sector Optimization Problem |
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118 | (2) |
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120 | (1) |
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120 | (2) |
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5.3.4 Economic Interpretation: Turnpike Properties |
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122 | (1) |
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5.4 Appendix: Optimal Control in Vintage Capital Models |
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123 | (10) |
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5.4.1 Statement of Optimization Problem |
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124 | (1) |
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5.4.2 Variational Techniques |
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125 | (1) |
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5.4.3 Method of Lagrange Multipliers |
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126 | (3) |
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5.4.4 Extremum Conditions |
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129 | (1) |
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129 | (1) |
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130 | (3) |
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Part II Models in Ecology and Environment |
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6 Mathematical Models of Biological Populations |
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133 | (24) |
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6.1 Models of Single Species Dynamics |
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133 | (7) |
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6.1.1 Malthusian Growth Model |
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134 | (1) |
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6.1.2 Von Bertalanffy Model |
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135 | (1) |
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6.1.3 Verhulst--Pearl Model |
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136 | (2) |
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6.1.4 Controlled Version of Verhulst--Pearl Model |
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138 | (1) |
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6.1.5 Verhulst--Volterra Model with Hereditary Effects |
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138 | (2) |
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6.2 Models of Two Species Dynamics |
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140 | (9) |
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6.2.1 Lotka--Volterra Model of Two Interacting Species |
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140 | (2) |
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6.2.2 Lotka--Volterra Predator--Prey Model |
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142 | (3) |
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6.2.3 Control in Predator--Prey Model |
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145 | (1) |
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6.2.4 Generalized Predator--Prey Models |
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146 | (1) |
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6.2.5 Predator--Prey Model with Individual Migration |
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147 | (2) |
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6.3 Age-Structured Models of Population Dynamics |
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149 | (8) |
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6.3.1 McKendrick Linear Population Model |
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149 | (1) |
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6.3.2 MacCamy Nonlinear Population Model |
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150 | (1) |
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6.3.3 Euler--Lotka Linear Integral Model of Population Dynamics |
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151 | (2) |
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153 | (3) |
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156 | (1) |
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7 Modeling of Heterogeneous and Controlled Populations |
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157 | (22) |
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7.1 Linear Size-Structured Population Models |
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157 | (2) |
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7.1.1 Model of Managed Size-Structured Population |
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158 | (1) |
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7.1.2 Connection Between Age- and Size-Structured Models |
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158 | (1) |
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7.1.3 Model of Size-Structured Population with Natural Reproduction |
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159 | (1) |
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7.2 Nonlinear Population Models |
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159 | (6) |
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7.2.1 Age-Structured Model with Intraspecies Competition |
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160 | (1) |
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7.2.2 Bifurcation Analysis |
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160 | (2) |
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7.2.3 Nonlinear Size-Structured Model |
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162 | (1) |
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7.2.4 Steady-State Analysis |
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163 | (2) |
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7.3 Population Models with Control and Optimization |
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165 | (14) |
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7.3.1 Age-Structured Population Models with Control |
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165 | (2) |
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7.3.2 Elements of Analysis |
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167 | (5) |
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7.3.3 Nonlinear Age-Structured Models of Controlled Harvesting |
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172 | (1) |
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7.3.4 Size-Structured Models with Controls |
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173 | (2) |
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175 | (1) |
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176 | (3) |
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8 Models of Air Pollution Propagation |
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179 | (18) |
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8.1 Fundamentals of Environmental Pollutions |
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179 | (1) |
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8.2 Models of Air Pollution Transport and Diffusion |
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180 | (5) |
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8.2.1 Model of Pollution Transport |
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181 | (1) |
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8.2.2 Model of Pollution Transport and Diffusion |
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182 | (1) |
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8.2.3 Steady-State Analysis: One-Dimensional Stationary Distribution of Pollutant |
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183 | (1) |
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8.2.4 Models of Pollution Transport, Diffusion, and Chemical Reaction |
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184 | (1) |
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8.2.5 Control Problems of Pollution Propagation in Atmosphere |
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185 | (1) |
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8.3 Modeling of Plant Location |
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185 | (4) |
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186 | (3) |
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8.4 Control of Plant Pollution Intensity |
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189 | (3) |
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8.4.1 Stationary Control of Air Pollution Intensity |
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189 | (2) |
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8.4.2 Dynamic Control of Air Pollution Intensity |
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191 | (1) |
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8.5 Structure of Applied Air Pollution Models |
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192 | (5) |
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8.5.1 Interaction with Earth Surface |
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193 | (1) |
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8.5.2 Interaction of Different Air Pollutants |
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194 | (1) |
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8.5.3 Air Contamination in Cities |
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194 | (1) |
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195 | (1) |
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196 | (1) |
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9 Models of Water Pollution Propagation |
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197 | (24) |
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9.1 Structure and Classification of Water Pollution Models |
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197 | (3) |
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9.1.1 Structure of Models |
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198 | (1) |
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9.1.2 Classification of Models |
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198 | (2) |
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9.2 Three-Dimensional Model |
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200 | (4) |
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9.2.1 Models of Adsorption and Sedimentation |
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200 | (1) |
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9.2.2 Equation of Transport of Dissolved Pollutants |
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201 | (1) |
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9.2.3 Equation of Transport of Suspended Pollutants |
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202 | (1) |
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9.2.4 Equations of Surface Water Dynamics |
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203 | (1) |
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9.2.5 Modeling of Pollutant Transport in Underground Water |
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204 | (1) |
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9.3 Two-Dimensional Horizontal Model |
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204 | (3) |
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9.3.1 Equation of Ground Deposit Accumulation |
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204 | (1) |
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9.3.2 Equation of Transport of Dissolved Pollutants |
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205 | (1) |
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9.3.3 Equation of Transport of Suspended Pollutants |
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206 | (1) |
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9.3.4 Equations of Water Dynamics |
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206 | (1) |
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9.4 One-Dimensional Pollution Model and Its Analytic Solutions |
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207 | (5) |
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9.4.1 Link Between Convective Diffusion Equation and Heat Equation |
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207 | (1) |
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9.4.2 Mathematical Preliminary: Heat Equation |
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208 | (1) |
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9.4.3 Instantaneous Source of Pollutant |
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209 | (1) |
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9.4.4 Pollutant Source with Constant Intensity |
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210 | (2) |
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9.5 Compartmental Models and Control Problems |
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212 | (9) |
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9.5.1 Equations of Water Balance |
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212 | (1) |
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9.5.2 Equations of Suspension Balance |
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212 | (1) |
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9.5.3 Equations of Pollution Propagation |
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213 | (1) |
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9.5.4 Control Problems of Water Pollution Propagation |
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214 | (1) |
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215 | (1) |
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216 | (5) |
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Part III Models of Economic-Environmental Systems |
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10 Modeling of Nonrenewable Resources |
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221 | (20) |
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10.1 Aggregate Models of Nonrenewable Resources |
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221 | (13) |
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10.1.1 Models of Optimal Resource Extraction |
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222 | (1) |
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10.1.2 Linear Model with No Resource Extraction Cost |
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222 | (2) |
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10.1.3 Models with Resource Extraction Cost |
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224 | (5) |
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10.1.4 Hotelling's Rule of Resource Extraction |
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229 | (2) |
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10.1.5 Modifications of Hotelling's Model |
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231 | (1) |
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10.1.6 Stochastic Models of Resource Extraction |
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232 | (2) |
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10.2 Dasgupta--Heal Model of Economic Growth with Exhaustible Resource |
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234 | (7) |
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10.2.1 Optimality Conditions |
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235 | (1) |
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236 | (3) |
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10.2.3 Interpretation of Results |
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239 | (1) |
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239 | (1) |
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240 | (1) |
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11 Modeling of Environmental Protection |
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241 | (22) |
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11.1 Mutual Influence of Economy and Environment |
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241 | (6) |
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11.1.1 Climate Change and Environmental Strategies |
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241 | (2) |
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11.1.2 Modeling of Economic Impact on Environment |
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243 | (1) |
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11.1.3 Modeling of the Environmental Impact on Economy and Society |
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244 | (2) |
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11.1.4 Modeling of Mitigation and Adaptation |
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246 | (1) |
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11.2 Model with Pollution Emission and Abatement |
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247 | (5) |
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11.2.1 Optimality Conditions |
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249 | (1) |
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249 | (2) |
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11.2.3 Interpretation of Results |
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251 | (1) |
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11.3 Model with Pollution Accumulation and Abatement |
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252 | (2) |
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252 | (2) |
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11.3.2 Interpretation of Results |
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254 | (1) |
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11.4 Model with Pollution Abatement and Environmental Adaptation |
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254 | (9) |
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11.4.1 Optimality Conditions |
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256 | (1) |
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11.4.2 Steady-State Analysis |
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257 | (1) |
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11.4.3 Discussion of Results |
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258 | (2) |
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260 | (1) |
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261 | (2) |
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12 Models of Global Dynamics: From Club of Rome to Integrated Assessment |
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263 | (22) |
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12.1 Global Trends and Their Modeling |
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263 | (6) |
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12.1.1 Global Environmental Trends |
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264 | (1) |
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12.1.2 Global Demographic Trends |
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265 | (1) |
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12.1.3 Population and Environment |
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265 | (1) |
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12.1.4 Modeling of Global Change |
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266 | (1) |
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12.1.5 Simplified Models of Human--Environmental Interaction |
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267 | (1) |
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12.1.6 Aggregate Indicators in Global Models |
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268 | (1) |
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12.2 Models of World Dynamics |
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269 | (7) |
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270 | (2) |
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272 | (3) |
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12.2.3 Mesarovic--Pestel Model |
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275 | (1) |
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12.2.4 Limitations of World Dynamics Models |
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275 | (1) |
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12.3 Integrated Assessment Models: Structure and Results |
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276 | (5) |
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12.3.1 Deterministic Models of Climate and Economy (DICE, RICE, WITCH) |
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277 | (1) |
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12.3.2 Deterministic Energy--Economy Models (Global 2100, CETA, MERGE, ECLIPSE) |
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278 | (1) |
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12.3.3 Scenario-Based Integrated Models (IMAGE, TARGETS) |
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279 | (1) |
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12.3.4 Probabilistic Integrated Models (PAGE, ICAM) |
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280 | (1) |
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12.3.5 Limitations of Integrated Assessment Models |
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281 | (1) |
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12.4 Global Modeling: A Look Ahead |
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281 | (4) |
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282 | (1) |
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283 | (2) |
Index |
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285 | |