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Population 10 Billion [Minkštas viršelis]

3.42/5 (341 ratings by Goodreads)
  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 448 pages, aukštis x plotis x storis: 196x130x30 mm, weight: 360 g
  • Išleidimo metai: 11-Jun-2013
  • Leidėjas: Constable
  • ISBN-10: 1780334915
  • ISBN-13: 9781780334912
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 448 pages, aukštis x plotis x storis: 196x130x30 mm, weight: 360 g
  • Išleidimo metai: 11-Jun-2013
  • Leidėjas: Constable
  • ISBN-10: 1780334915
  • ISBN-13: 9781780334912
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
Before May 2011 the top demographics experts of the United Nations had suggested that world population would peak at 9.1 billion in 2100, and then fall to 8.5 billion people by 2150. In contrast, the 2011 revision suggested that 9.1 billion would be achieved much earlier, maybe by 2050 or before, and by 2100 there would be 10.1 billion of us. What's more, they implied that global human population might still be slightly rising in our total numbers a century from now. So what shall we do? Are there too many people on the planet? Is this the end of life as we know it?

Distinguished geographer Professor Danny Dorling thinks we should not worry so much and that, whatever impending doom may be around the corner, we will deal with it when it comes. In a series of fascinating chapters he charts the rise of the human race from its origins to its end-point of population 10 billion. Thus he shows that while it took until about 1988 to reach 5 billion we reached 6 billion by 2000, 7 billion eleven years later and will reach 8 billion by 2025.

By recording how we got here, Dorling is able to show us the key issues that we face in the coming decades: how we will deal with scarcity of resources; how our cities will grow and become more female; why the change that we should really prepare for is the population decline that will occur after 10 billion.

Population 10 Billion is a major work by one of the world's leading geographers and will change the way you think about the future. Packed full of counter-intuitive ideas and observations, this book is a tool kit to prepare for the future and to help us ask the right questions

Recenzijos

Brilliant and persuasive. * Prospect * A myth-busting analysis of population growth... refreshingly free of doomsday rhetoric. -- John Kampfner * The Guardian * Dorling punctures many myths. * The Observer *

Daugiau informacijos

An in depth examination of the impact that a global population of 10 billion will have on the planet and how we will have to adapt to cope with it.
1 Introduction: stop worrying
1(56)
Discovering a new world
3(13)
After the Tsunami, being a `possibilist'
16(10)
The long-range forecast
26(13)
Fibonacci's rabbits
39(8)
Lessons from `Coconut Land'
47(10)
2 The first half of human history
57(47)
Stepping on the gas
61(7)
How many of us were there?
68(9)
Doom-mongering through the ages
77(11)
The value of labour
88(8)
Apocalypse then
96(8)
3 6 billion for the millennium
104(48)
The science of slums
108(7)
Migration and consumption
115(7)
Demography and deniers
122(9)
Carrying capacity
131(9)
Peak everything
140(12)
4 7 billion in December 2011
152(52)
Forecast and project
155(8)
Riot and disorder
163(12)
Energy and equality
175(8)
Future fear
183(12)
Village people
195(9)
5 8 billion by the quarter century (2025)
204(48)
Food and farming
206(8)
Water, water everywhere
214(13)
No marriage city
227(10)
Learning not to be stupid
237(11)
Meritocracy for the masses?
248(4)
6 9 billion by 2045
252(40)
Passports and pass-books
254(6)
An urban world
260(8)
An unequal world
268(4)
The super-rich
272(12)
The super-poor
284(8)
7 10 billion?
292(43)
Rare earth
293(8)
Punctuated equilibrium
301(11)
Deciding to have children
312(10)
Ageing and learning to share
322(7)
The new world geography
329(6)
8 Or not 10 billion
335(34)
Forecasting the end of times
336(3)
Population decline
339(6)
The last baby boom
345(6)
The politics of hope
351(10)
The history of the future
361(8)
Afterword 369(2)
Acknowledgements 371(2)
References 373(58)
Index 431
Danny Dorling is Professor for the Public Understanding of Social Science at the University of Sheffield. He is a Geographer and Honorary President of the Society of Cartographers In 2009 he was awarded the Gold Award of the Geographical Association and the Back Award of the Royal Geographical Society. He has appeared on BBC TV programs on demography and frequently comments on public policy on radio.