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Rational Choice Using Imprecise Probabilities and Utilities [Minkštas viršelis]

(University of Missouri, Columbia)
  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 75 pages, aukštis x plotis x storis: 150x230x5 mm, weight: 140 g, Worked examples or Exercises
  • Serija: Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy
  • Išleidimo metai: 25-Feb-2021
  • Leidėjas: Cambridge University Press
  • ISBN-10: 1108713505
  • ISBN-13: 9781108713504
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
  • Formatas: Paperback / softback, 75 pages, aukštis x plotis x storis: 150x230x5 mm, weight: 140 g, Worked examples or Exercises
  • Serija: Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy
  • Išleidimo metai: 25-Feb-2021
  • Leidėjas: Cambridge University Press
  • ISBN-10: 1108713505
  • ISBN-13: 9781108713504
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
An agent often does not have precise probabilities or utilities to guide resolution of a decision problem. I advance a principle of rationality for making decisions in such cases. To begin, I represent the doxastic and conative state of an agent with a set of pairs of a probability assignment and a utility assignment. Then I support a decision principle that allows any act that maximizes expected utility according to some pair of assignments in the set. Assuming that computation of an option's expected utility uses comprehensive possible outcomes that include the option's risk, no consideration supports a stricter requirement.

An agent often does not have precise probabilities or utilities to guide resolution of a decision problem. In this Element I advance a principle of rationality for making decisions in such cases.

Daugiau informacijos

To make decision theory realistic, I show how to choose rationally when possible outcomes have imprecise probabilities and utilities.
1 Introduction
1(1)
2 Imprecision
1(17)
3 Rational Imprecision
18(7)
4 Probabilism
25(18)
5 The Expected-Utility Principle
43(5)
6 Norms for Imprecise Attitudes
48(6)
7 The Permissive Principle of Choice
54(4)
8 Sequences of Choices
58(6)
9 Choices in Games of Strategy
64(3)
10 Conclusion
67(2)
References 69