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El. knyga: Technical Analysis And Financial Asset Forecasting: From Simple Tools To Advanced Techniques

(The Chinese Univ Of Hong Kong, Hong Kong), (Asia Univ, Taiwan), (The Chinese Univ Of Hong Kong, Hong Kong)
  • Formatas: 204 pages
  • Išleidimo metai: 19-Aug-2014
  • Leidėjas: World Scientific Publishing Co Pte Ltd
  • Kalba: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9789814436267
Kitos knygos pagal šią temą:
  • Formatas: 204 pages
  • Išleidimo metai: 19-Aug-2014
  • Leidėjas: World Scientific Publishing Co Pte Ltd
  • Kalba: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9789814436267
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Focusing on technical analysis as a tool for identifying stock price trends, this slim undergraduate textbook introduces trend lines and trend channels for reading chart patterns, linear filters, momentum indicators, wavelets, empirical mode decomposition, Gann’s theory, and Bollinger Bands. Example charts apply the techniques to the Hang Seng Index and individual Chinese stocks over the last seven years. Annotation ©2015 Ringgold, Inc., Portland, OR (protoview.com)

Technical analysis is defined as the tracking and prediction of asset price movements using charts and graphs in combination with various mathematical and statistical methods. More precisely, it is the quantitative criteria used in predicting the relative strength of buying and selling forces within a market to determine what to buy, what to sell, and when to execute trades.

This book introduces simple technical analysis tools like moving averages and Bollinger bands, and also advanced techniques such as wavelets and empirical mode decomposition. It first discusses some traditional tools in technical analysis, such as trend, trend Line, trend channel, Gann's Theory, moving averages, and Bollinger bands. It then introduces a recent indicator developed for stock market and two recent techniques used in the technical analysis field: wavelets and the empirical mode decomposition in financial time series. The book also discusses the theory to test the performance of the indicators and introduces the MATLAB Financial Toolbox, some of the functions/codes of which are used in our numerical experiments.
Acknowledgments vii
Preface ix
List of Figures
xv
List of Tables
xix
Part 1 Classical Technical Analysis
1(56)
1 Introduction to Technical Analysis
3(14)
1.1 What Is Technical Analysis?
3(1)
1.2 Origin of Technical Analysis and Its Development
4(4)
1.3 Application of Technical Analysis in Stock Markets
8(1)
1.4 Basic Principle of Technical Analysis
9(1)
1.5 Usefulness of Technical Analysis in Stock Markets
10(2)
1.6 Filtering Tools in Technical Analysis
12(2)
1.7 Technical Analysis Strategies for Stock Market Investment
14(3)
2 Primary Tools for Technical Analysis
17(10)
2.1 Types of Chart
17(5)
2.2 Price Chart Scaling
22(2)
2.3 Summary
24(3)
3 Chart Pattern Reading --- Trend, Trend Line and Trend Channel
27(12)
3.1 Trend
27(1)
3.2 Trend Direction and Volume
28(2)
3.3 Trend Classification
30(1)
3.4 Support and Resistance
31(1)
3.5 Objective Price Forecasting
32(1)
3.6 Round Numbers as Support and Resistance Levels
33(1)
3.7 Trend Lines
33(2)
3.8 Trend Channels
35(2)
3.9 Summary
37(2)
4 Chart Pattern Reading --- Identifying Important Chart Patterns
39(18)
4.1 Identifying Important Price Chart Patterns
40(1)
4.2 Major Reversal Patterns
40(6)
4.3 Major Continuation Patterns
46(8)
4.4 Summary
54(3)
Part 2 Filtering Tools in Technical Analysis
57(68)
5 Linear Filters
59(14)
5.1 Linear Filters
59(3)
5.2 Frequency Response
62(4)
5.3 Recursive Filters
66(3)
5.4 Convolution Theorem
69(2)
5.5 Summary
71(2)
6 Momentum Indicators
73(12)
6.1 2-point Moving Difference
73(1)
6.2 Momentum Indicators
74(1)
6.3 Crossover of Two Moving Averages
75(3)
6.4 Velocity Indicators
78(2)
6.5 MACD and Acceleration Indicators
80(4)
6.6 Summary
84(1)
7 Profitability of Momentum Indicators
85(12)
7.1 Trading Methods Using Momentum Indicators
85(3)
7.2 Performance Evaluation by Statistical Tests
88(4)
7.3 Evaluation Results
92(4)
7.4 Summary
96(1)
8 Wavelets and Technical Analysis
97(16)
8.1 One-Dimensional Continuous-time Wavelet Functions
98(1)
8.2 One-Dimensional Discrete Wavelet Transform
99(6)
8.3 Trading Method Based on Wavelets
105(2)
8.4 Evaluation Results
107(4)
8.5 Summary
111(2)
9 Empirical Mode Decomposition and Technical Analysis
113(12)
9.1 Instantaneous Frequency
113(2)
9.2 Empirical Mode Decomposition
115(3)
9.3 Trading Method Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition
118(2)
9.4 Evaluation Results
120(3)
9.5 Summary
123(2)
Part 3 Other Indicators in Technical Analysis
125(32)
10 Gann's Theory Unraveled
127(8)
10.1 Introduction to William D. Gann
127(1)
10.2 Gann's Theory Unraveled
127(1)
10.3 Gann's Geometric Angles
128(1)
10.4 Gann's Retracement Percentages
129(1)
10.5 Applications of Gann's Trend Lines and Retracements
130(4)
10.6 Summary
134(1)
11 Bollinger Bands
135(10)
11.1 Introduction to Bollinger Bands
135(1)
11.2 Calculation of Bollinger Bands
136(1)
11.3 Trading Methods Using Bollinger Bands
136(7)
11.4 Summary
143(2)
12 Other Technical Indicators
145(12)
12.1 Standardized Yield Differential Indicator
145(2)
12.2 52-week High Momentum Strategy
147(2)
12.3 Intraday and Interday Momentum Strategies
149(2)
12.4 Relative Strength Index Indicators
151(1)
12.5 Directional Indicators
152(5)
Appendix A Relevant Literature in Different Topics 157(2)
Appendix B Descriptive Statistics for Tested Markets 159(2)
Appendix C General Remarks on Wavelet-based and EMD-based Trading Rules 161(4)
Appendix D MATLAB Functions Used in Context 165(8)
Bibliography 173(8)
Index 181