Preface |
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iii | (5) |
Explanatory notes |
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viii | |
INTRODUCTION |
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1 | (1) |
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I. THE PROSPECTS OF URBANIZATION AND CITY GROWTH |
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2 | (29) |
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A. Urban and rural population size and growth |
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2 | (18) |
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1. Highlights of the results at the world level |
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2 | (6) |
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2. Urban and rural growth in the less developed regions |
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8 | (8) |
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3. Urbanization in the more developed regions |
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16 | (4) |
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20 | (9) |
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1. The 15 largest urban agglomerations |
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20 | (3) |
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23 | (2) |
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3. The phenomena of counter-urbanization and reconcentration |
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25 | (1) |
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4. Distribution of cities and urban population by city-size class |
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26 | (3) |
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C. Summary and implications |
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29 | (2) |
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II. METHODOLOGY FOR ESTIMATION AND PROJECTION OF POPULATION OF URBAN AREAS, INCLUDING URBAN AGGLOMERATIONS |
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31 | (6) |
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A. Estimates and projections of the urban population |
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31 | (3) |
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31 | (1) |
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2. The estimation period: measuring trends in the urban proportion |
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32 | (1) |
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3. Projection of the proportion urban at the national level |
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33 | (1) |
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B. Estimate and projections of city population |
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34 | (3) |
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34 | (1) |
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2. Estimation of the city population |
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35 | (1) |
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3. Projection of the city population |
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35 | (2) |
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37 | (46) |
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A. Sources of data for urban populations |
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37 | (18) |
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B. Sources of data for urban agglomerations and capital cities |
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55 | (28) |
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1. Distribution of total, urban and rural population of the world between more developed regions and less developed regions, 1975-2030 |
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5 | |
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2. Rural population and average annual rate of change, 1970-1975, 1990-1995 and 2025-2030 |
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8 | |
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3. The 15 largest urban agglomerations ranked by population size, 1950-2015 |
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21 | |
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4. Number of mega-cities in 1975, 1995 and 2015 |
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23 | |
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5. Average annual rate of change in population during 1975-1995 and 1995-2015 for urban agglomerations ranked as mega-cities in 2015 |
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24 | |
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1. Population living in urban areas in the world, the more developed and the less developed regions, 1950, 1975, 1995 and 2030 |
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3 | |
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2. Rate of urbanization for the world, the more developed and the less developed regions, 1950-2030 |
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4 | |
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3. Urban population in the more developed and the less developed regions, 1950, 1975 and 2030 |
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5 | |
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4. Annual growth rate of urban population for the world, more developed regions and less developed regions, 1950-2030 |
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6 | |
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5. Distribution of annual urban population increment among the more developed and the less developed regions |
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7 | |
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6. Distribution of urban population in the less developed regions in 1975 and 1995 |
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9 | |
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7. Population living in urban areas in Africa, 1950, 1975, 1995 and 2030 |
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9 | |
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8. Urban growth rate for Africa, 1950 to 2030 |
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10 | |
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9. Population living in urban areas in Latin America and the Caribbean, 1950, 1975, 1995 and 2030 |
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11 | |
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10. Urban growth rate for Latin America and the Caribbean, 1950 to 2030 |
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12 | |
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11. Population living in urban areas in Asia in 1950, 1975, 1995 and 2030 |
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13 | |
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12. Urban growth rate for Asia, 1950 to 2030 |
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14 | |
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13. Population living in urban areas in Oceania (less developed regions), 1950, 1975, 1995 and 2030 |
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15 | |
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14. Urban growth rate for Oceania (less developed regions) 1950 to 2030 |
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15 | |
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15. Population living in urban areas in Europe, 1950, 1975, 1995 and 2030 |
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16 | |
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16. Urban growth rate for Europe, 1950 to 2030 |
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17 | |
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17. Population living in urban areas in Northern America, Australia-New Zealand and Japan, 1950, 1975, 1995 and 2030 |
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18 | |
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18. Urban growth rate in Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan, 1950, 1975, 1995 and 2030 |
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19 | |
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19. The 15 largest urban agglomerations in 1995 |
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22 | |
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20. Distribution of urban population by city-size class, 1950-2015 |
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28 | |
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83 | |
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83 | (1) |
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Distribution of population among urban and rural areas |
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83 | (37) |
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A.1. Population of urban and rural areas and percentage urban, 1996 |
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83 | (5) |
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A.2. Population residing in urban areas, by major area, region and country, 1950-2030 |
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88 | (8) |
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A.3. Urban population, by major area, region and country, 1950-2030 |
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96 | (8) |
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A.4. Rural population, by major area, region and country, 1950-2030 |
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104 | (8) |
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A.5. Total population, by major area, region and country, 1950-2030 |
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112 | (8) |
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Growth rates of population |
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120 | (12) |
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A.6. Average annual rate of change of urban population, by major area, region and country, 1950-2030 |
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120 | (4) |
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A.7. Average annual rate of change of rural population, by major area, region and country, 1950-2030 |
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124 | (4) |
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A.8. Average annual rate of change of total population, by major area, region and country, 1950-2030 |
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128 | (4) |
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Rate of urbanization and ruralization |
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132 | (8) |
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A.9. Average annual rate of change of percentage urban, by major area, region and country, 1950-2030 |
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132 | (4) |
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A.10. Average annual rate of change of percentage rural, by major area, region and country, 1950-2030 |
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136 | (4) |
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140 | (49) |
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A.11. The 30 largest urban agglomerations ranked by population size, 1950-2015 |
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140 | (4) |
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A.12. Population of urban agglomerations comprising 750,000 or more inhabitants in 1995, by country, 1950-2015 |
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144 | (8) |
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A.13. Population of capital cities in 1995 |
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152 | (3) |
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A.14. Average annual growth rate of urban agglomerations with 750,000 or more inhabitants in 1995, by country, 1950-2015 |
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155 | (8) |
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A.15. Urban population residing in urban agglomerations with 750,000 or more inhabitants in 1995, by country, 1950-2015 |
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163 | (8) |
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A.16. Total population residing in urban agglomerations with 750,000 or more inhabitants in 1995, by country, 1950-2015 |
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171 | (8) |
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A.17. Urban population, number of cities and percentage of urban population by city-size class, major areas and regions, 1950-2015 |
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179 | (10) |
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II. OBTAINING DATA ON MAGNETIC TAPE OR MICROCOMPUTER DISKETTE |
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189 | |